News: Mortgages slow to snailpace

Mon, 05 Nov 07

The number of new mortgages being given to house buyers fell by 20% in September from a year earlier, reports the BBC...

According to Bank of England figures, 102,000 new mortgages were approved for house buyers in September 2007 - 25,000 fewer than in September 2006, and 6,000 fewer than in August, the Bank said. The figures add to the growing body of evidence that the property market is now cooling off rapidly. Recent surveys have shown that price growth is slowing down in many areas.

Last week the Land Registry for England and Wales reported that annual property price inflation had dropped in September to 8.7% from 9.4% in August, describing this as a "noticeable dip". Other recent surveys, from big mortgage lenders, surveyors and the Department of Communities and Local Government, have all been pointing in the same direction.

Continuing downturn

The number of new mortgages approved by UK lenders in September was the smallest monthly amount since July 2005. The downturn has been going on since the summer of 2006, when the Bank of England imposed the first of five increases in interest rates.

But the squeeze on the market now seems to be gathering pace as higher borrowing costs and prices that have still risen briskly in the past year have finally taken their toll.

This slowdown will manifest itself most obviously in 2008, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML). Publishing its annual housing market forecasts, the CML said that house price growth would slow down to just 1% from an eventual 7% this year.

Slow but not stagnant

And it predicted that there would be a 15% decline in property sales during 2008, down to 1.01 million from an expected 1.17 million this year. "We now expect a slower mortgage market next year, although by no means a stagnant one," said Michael Coogan of the CML.

"Most borrowers will cope, but not everyone will escape unharmed from the effects of a slower market," he said.  The CML also forecast a 50% rise in the number of home repossessions in 2008. And this would be made worse by wider credit problems globally, with lenders setting increasingly strict criteria for borrowers, so that remortgaging would be harder.

Commenting on the CML's figures, Adam Sampson, head of housing charity Shelter, said: "These figures will no doubt set alarm bells ringing for hundreds of thousands of homeowners across the country".

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